Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.030764 0.033152 0.035544 0.038114 0.040796 0.043507 0.046451
2025-09-21 0.025103 0.028928 0.032908 0.037341 0.042122 0.047106 0.052676
2025-09-28 0.021399 0.026022 0.030982 0.036654 0.042921 0.049595 0.057202
2025-10-05 0.019878 0.025214 0.031074 0.037910 0.045597 0.053908 0.063508
2025-10-12 0.017942 0.023724 0.030218 0.037938 0.046759 0.056428 0.067731
2025-10-19 0.016332 0.022459 0.029486 0.037984 0.047835 0.058762 0.071669
2025-10-26 0.015632 0.022197 0.029853 0.039239 0.050240 0.062554 0.077213
2025-11-02 0.014470 0.021282 0.029377 0.039440 0.051375 0.064862 0.081044
2025-11-09 0.013305 0.020284 0.028731 0.039381 0.052156 0.066721 0.084331
2025-11-16 0.012160 0.019235 0.027960 0.039117 0.052647 0.068209 0.087159
2025-11-23 0.011088 0.018212 0.027164 0.038771 0.052999 0.069501 0.089733
2025-11-30 0.010152 0.017310 0.026473 0.038511 0.053418 0.070844 0.092344
2025-12-07 0.008940 0.016030 0.025330 0.037760 0.053353 0.071760 0.094649
2025-12-14 0.007776 0.014757 0.024166 0.036977 0.053267 0.072694 0.097048
2025-12-21 0.006771 0.013628 0.023125 0.036292 0.053257 0.073687 0.099492
2025-12-28 0.006528 0.013609 0.023576 0.037541 0.055668 0.077615 0.105456
2026-01-04 0.005910 0.012964 0.023124 0.037568 0.056510 0.079616 0.109095
2026-01-11 0.005356 0.012371 0.022708 0.037614 0.057356 0.081606 0.112711
2026-01-18 0.005199 0.012408 0.023185 0.038861 0.059746 0.085509 0.118662
2026-01-25 0.004763 0.011944 0.022909 0.039062 0.060769 0.087708 0.122533
2026-02-01 0.004296 0.011384 0.022461 0.039003 0.061435 0.089451 0.125841
2026-02-08 0.003821 0.010762 0.021886 0.038740 0.061813 0.090819 0.128678
2026-02-15 0.003370 0.010137 0.021273 0.038397 0.062064 0.092011 0.131288